Bericht einer Institution, Forschungsbericht, Working Paper
Interactive Opinion Formation in a Multi-Opinion Model
Publication Details
Authors: | Flieth, B.; von Wangenheim, G. |
Place: | Jena |
Publication year: | 1996 |
Title of series: | Papers on Economics and Evolution |
Volume number: | 9604 |
Abstract
We model incompletely informed individuals who adopt their opinion from a range of two or more opinions. Probabilities of adoption depend on information provided by other individuals, hence on the current shares of opinions in the population; and on external information. Using the synergetic tools to analyse this markov process we show that multiple stationary distributions of opinions may exist. Whether path dependency exists, depends on the relevance and bias of external information. Applying this model to Public Choice theory we can explain partial indetermency of interest groups investements' outcome.
We model incompletely informed individuals who adopt their opinion from a range of two or more opinions. Probabilities of adoption depend on information provided by other individuals, hence on the current shares of opinions in the population; and on external information. Using the synergetic tools to analyse this markov process we show that multiple stationary distributions of opinions may exist. Whether path dependency exists, depends on the relevance and bias of external information. Applying this model to Public Choice theory we can explain partial indetermency of interest groups investements' outcome.
